Katie Taylor is looking to secure a 3-0 record against Amanda Serrano when they face off on Friday for Taylor’s undisputed junior welterweight title at Madison Square Garden in New York (Netflix, 8pm ET). Taylor won their first match in April 2022 by split decision and claimed a unanimous decision in their November rematch, both closely contested bouts that have made this trilogy highly anticipated.
In the co-main event, Alycia Baumgardner will defend her undisputed junior lightweight title against Jennifer Miranda in a matchup expected to end early. On Saturday, Edgar Berlanga will take on Hamzah Sheeraz in a super middleweight bout at Louis Armstrong Stadium in Queens, New York (Dazn PPV, 5pm ET). Berlanga has won his first 16 fights but has only achieved two knockouts in his last eight matches.
Shakur Stevenson will defend his WBC lightweight title against William Zepeda in the co-main event, which promises to be an exciting fight this weekend. Serrano is the slight favorite against Taylor, Baumgardner is the clear favorite on the women’s card, and Stevenson is a strong favorite with his style suggesting the fight will likely go to a decision. ESPN betting expert Ian Parker offers detailed analysis and betting advice for these bouts.
Katie Taylor (+160) vs. Amanda Serrano (-200)
Despite Taylor being 2-0 against Serrano before this trilogy fight, Serrano is nearly a 2-to-1 favorite. Their previous matches were competitive, with Serrano once having Taylor hurt but unable to finish. Serrano will rely on her power and pace to try for an epic victory. For bettors, there are various value plays, including betting on Serrano to win outright, or considering a Taylor upset (+350 for Serrano to be defeated). Taylor has incredible toughness, so a decision win on either side is a solid option.
Alycia Baumgardner (-3500) vs. Jennifer Miranda (+1200)
Baumgardner is the overwhelming favorite here. The best bets include Baumgardner winning by decision (-190) or by KO/TKO (+165). Baumgardner’s KO power and pace should give her the upper hand, making knockout bets worthwhile despite the lopsided odds.
Savanna Marshall (-550) vs. Shadashia Green (+375)
Marshall returns to the ring after two years, favored at -500. While Green has strengths, Marshall’s experience and boxing IQ make her the likely winner. Betting on Marshall to win by decision (-120) might offer good value, especially given her long layoff.
Edgar Berlanga (+110) vs. Hamzah Sheeraz (-135)
Sheeraz is a solid wager at -135 facing the aggressive Berlanga, who is known for trying to finish fights early but tends to wear down later. Bets on Sheeraz, including a KO/TKO at +325 or a fight to go the distance (+105), present interesting options.
Shakur Stevenson (-1100) vs. William Zepeda (+650)
Stevenson is the strongest favorite at -1100. While the odds suggest a comfortable win by decision, betting on Stevenson to win and keep distance (+105) could provide better value. Zepeda, known for knockouts, will test Stevenson’s defensive skills.
Fan Take:
This trilogy clash between Katie Taylor and Amanda Serrano is significant for fight fans as it highlights one of the most thrilling rivalries in women’s boxing, showcasing top-tier skill and heart. The outcomes of these fights not only shape legacies but also elevate the sport’s visibility and appeal, making these matchups pivotal for the future of boxing.
