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MLB Best Home Run Bets for July 22
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Jo Adell (LAA) +440 at Betrivers
Jo Adell tends to either hit with power or take aggressive swings. He’s likely to connect against Frankie Montas, who has been inconsistent since returning from injury. Montas is giving up 1.5 home runs per 9 innings since mid-2022, after being traded to the Yankees. While Adell is 0-for-5 against Montas in his career, now might be the moment for him to break through. Adell has already set a personal best with 21 home runs this season, and with Montas not pitching at his peak, the +405 line on Adell’s home run is a good bet.
Jazz Chisholm (NYY) +450 at Hacker
Chisholm is 8 for 16 in his career against Max Scherzer, with those hits including home runs and triples. Despite a poor showing in the Home Run Derby, Chisholm remains a dangerous hitter. He sports a .935 OPS and has hit 16 of his 17 home runs against right-handed pitchers this season. Scherzer, a future Hall of Famer, is 40 years old and has struggled with injuries. In limited appearances this year, left-handed hitters have an OPS of .882 against him, including four home runs. Chisholm avoided Scherzer’s dominance at Rogers Centre last month and looks worth a wager again at +370.
Jared Greiner (DET) +500 at Betmgm
Greiner is a dependable option facing right-handed pitching, while Keller struggles more against left-handed hitters. The lefty Greiner has a .731 OPS versus Keller, compared to just .554 from the right side. Although he struggled somewhat against Paul Skens recently, Greiner is batting .304 this season, with 23 of his 25 home runs coming against right-handers. The +335 line on Greiner’s home run makes him a solid pick.
Fan Take: These home run bets showcase emerging and refreshing power hitters with favorable matchups, spotlighting the dynamic shifts in MLB pitching and batting trends. For baseball fans, this emphasizes the excitement of strategic play and underlines how age and injury impact pitching dominance, opening new opportunities for hitters to shine.
