Jake Paul is set to face Anthony Joshua in an officially sanctioned eight-round fight with 10-ounce gloves on Friday at Miami’s Caseya Center. This marks Joshua’s first match since his knockout loss to Daniel Dubois on September 21, 2024, breaking his four-fight winning streak. Meanwhile, Paul secured a 10-round unanimous decision win over former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in June. The fight will be streamed on Netflix starting at 8pm ET, with the bout expected around 11pm ET.
According to FanDuel odds, Anthony Joshua is the strong favorite at -$1200, while Paul is the underdog at +$800. The total round over/under is set at 2.5, with the over favored at -134. Joshua has stated to CBS Sports that a failure to knock out Paul in the first round would be disastrous for him, noting that winning in the first round would pay +300. SportsLine’s fight expert Josh Nagel offers boxing predictions and betting advice for this high-profile clash.
Nagel, SportsLine’s martial arts editor, has a successful track record as a boxing analyst with over 20 years of experience, accurately predicting outcomes for major fights like Terrence Crawford vs. Canelo Alvarez and Dimitry Bivol vs. Artur Beterbiev in 2025, among others. His picks have brought substantial profits to followers, and he continues to provide expert prop bets and analysis exclusively on SportsLine.
One key prop pick from Nagel is Joshua winning by TKO/KO at -360, citing Joshua’s recent knockout success and physical advantages over Paul, who is younger but smaller and less experienced in terms of rounds fought. Joshua’s career stats include 28 wins with 25 knockouts, compared to Paul’s 12-1 record with seven knockouts, underscoring the disparity in experience and power. Additional prop bets and expert insights are available via SportsLine.
The fight offers betting bonuses for new users on platforms like DraftKings, FanDuel, and bet365, encouraging viewers to engage with the event. Nagel’s comprehensive analysis and prop picks, including some with high returns, are accessible on SportsLine, providing valuable guidance for those interested in wagering on the fight.
Fan Take: This fight represents a fascinating clash between a seasoned heavyweight champion and a rising star from the influencer boxing world, highlighting shifting dynamics in combat sports popularity. For fighting fans, the Paul vs. Joshua bout not only promises thrilling action but also underscores how non-traditional boxing figures can impact the sport’s mainstream appeal and betting landscape.
