The San Antonio Spurs will face the Oklahoma City Thunder in a crucial Western Conference matchup on Christmas Day, aiming to secure the season series against the reigning NBA champions. The Spurs recently beat the Thunder 130-110 in San Antonio, ending Oklahoma City’s 16-game winning streak in the NBA Cup semifinals. Currently leading the Southwest Division with a 22-7 record, the Spurs have gone 10-5 in away games this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City, leading the Northwest Division with a 26-4 record, remains undefeated at home with a 14-0 record. The Thunder have lost twice to San Antonio but have won 26 out of 28 games against other teams this season.
An informational call from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Historically, the Spurs lead the overall series with 104 wins to the Thunder’s 89. According to the latest SportsLine Consensus odds, Oklahoma City is favored by 9.5 points with a total points over/under set at 235.5. The moneyline stands at -376 for Oklahoma City (meaning a $376 bet would win $100) and +296 for San Antonio (a $100 bet would win $296). Before placing bets on this Thunder-Spurs game, bettors should review NBA predictions and advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine projection model, which simulates each NBA game 10,000 times, has delivered over $10,000 in returns on $100 bets for top-rated NBA picks in the last eight seasons. This season, the model holds a solid 30-14 record on spread picks through Week 10 of the 2025-26 NBA season. Those who have followed its guidance could have made substantial profits.
For this Spurs vs. Thunder game, simulations have been run 10,000 times, with detailed picks and predictions available on SportsLine. Key betting lines include Oklahoma City favored by 9.5 points and a total points line of 235.5. The moneyline odds favor Oklahoma City at -376, with San Antonio as the underdog at +296. Fans can stream the game via Fubo, which offers a free trial.
SportsLine’s model suggests taking the under for the total points (235.5), noting that six of the last ten Spurs-Thunder games have finished below this figure. The under has also hit in recent games for both teams. The model projects San Antonio’s De’Aaron Fox to average 18.4 points with five more Spurs players expected to score double digits, while Oklahoma City’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to put up 30.6 points alongside two other Thunder players scoring at least 16 each.
This model has also made successful against-the-spread picks in nearly 70% of simulations, highlighting its strong predictive ability. For definitive picks on this game, SportsLine is the go-to source, backed by a proven track record of lucrative NBA betting advice.
Fan Take: This matchup is a must-watch for basketball enthusiasts because it pits a surging Spurs team against the dominant Thunder, offering a glimpse into the Western Conference’s power dynamics. The outcome could influence playoff seeding and momentum, potentially shaping the narrative of the season moving forward.
