The 2026 American Express tees off Thursday from the Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, Calif., for the second round of the 2026 PGA Tour season. However, this is the season’s debut for world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, and his presence is sure to draw even more attention to this tournament. It also has a big impact on the odds, as Scheffler is a heavy favorite in almost every tournament he plays in, and the 29-year-old is a +300-to-1 favorite in the latest 2026 American Express odds. Bettors aren’t just limited to betting on the winner when it comes to American Express 2026 bets, as PGA Tour prop betting is becoming an increasingly popular method of golf betting. We found that the SportsLine model is predicting value on American Express prop bets for 2026, including backing Patrick Cantlay to finish inside the top 10 with odds of +290 (risk $100 to win $290). Cantlay will tee off alongside Ben Griffin on the 10th hole of the Nicklaus Tournament Course on Thursday at 1:31 p.m. ET.
The model also wants 26-year-old Swede Ludwig Aberg to finish at the top of Europe, also available on FanDuel. Aberg has +600 odds to cash in on his bet by defeating competitors such as Robert McIntyre (+500), Matt Fitzpatrick (+750) and Harry Hall (+900). However, the model doesn’t expect Fitzpatrick to have a tough showing, predicting he’ll be worth a top-five spot in the American Express prop bet in 2026, with odds of +750 at Caesars Sportsbook. Before finalizing your 2026 American Express prop pick or any other PGA Tour bet on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out our golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer models.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, developed by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been gaining a lot of attention since the PGA Tour restarted in June 2020. In fact, the model has been successful tournament after tournament since its relaunch, with the highest stakes up more than $8,000.
This same model was successful at a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, the fourth consecutive Masters, and this year’s PGA Championship and British Open Championship. Anyone who follows our sports betting recommendations may have seen huge profits. gambling site.
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Top 2026 American Express Prop Picks
- Patrick Cantlay in top 10 (+290)
- Ludwig Aberg finishes top in Europe (+600)
- Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (+750)
Patrick Cantlay in top 10 (+290)
Cantlay finished in the top 10 five times in 20 tournaments, including a fifth-place finish at American Express last year. He has finished in the top 10 in three of his last five starts on the Pete Dye Stadium Course at American Express. Cantlay had a strong showing last year with three top-10 finishes in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, including a T-2 finish at the Tour Championship. Given his closeness last season and previous success with American Express, the model thinks he’s worth near 3-1 odds to finish in the top 10. At FanDuel Sportsbook, Cantlay has odds of +290 to finish in the top 10, while other sportsbooks have odds of around +250.
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Ludwig Aberg finishes top in Europe (+600)
Aberg quickly proved that his success in college was comparable to the pros and is in his third full-time season on the PGA Tour. Aberg is a two-time winner of the Ben Hogan Award, given to the top collegiate golfer at Texas Tech University, and already has two wins and four runner-up finishes in 56 PGA Tour tournaments. He has 14 top-10 finishes in 40 events over the past two years, including one win and three runner-up finishes. He finished in the top 10 three times in the last five tournaments last year, and at odds of 6-1, the model sees value in finishing ahead of other quality European golfers such as Robert McIntyre, Matt Fitzpatrick and Harry Hall.
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Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (+750)
Fitzpatrick had top-five finishes in two of his last five tournaments last season and four top-eight finishes in his last six tournaments. He played some of his best golf toward the end of last year, and the model predicts that to continue into early 2026. Eight golfers have lower odds of finishing in the top five than him, creating value for him at this price based on the model’s projections. Caesars Sportsbook projects Fitzpatrick to finish in the top five with odds of +750, while other sportsbooks have odds of around +650.
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Want more American Express 2026 recommendations?
We took a look at the 2026 American Express props on SportsLine models this weekend. Check out the full model leaderboard for The American Express 2026 here, including four golfers with odds of +2700 or more as top 10 contenders. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 American Express, and which longshot will shock the golf world? Check out the 2026 American Express odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the predicted leaderboard from a model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
Also on Sportsline:
Do you want a bigger paycheck? The model also built a five-legged 2026 American Express parlay that could return nearly $70,000 on a bet of just $10. Check out the model’s American Express parlay only on SportsLine. Visit SportsLine to watch the parlay.
