A “bear bet” isn’t just a metaphor — it’s a real wager, and I’m putting one down. Prop bets are one of the most entertaining ways to stake money on big matchups, so here are the first props I like heading into Super Bowl LX.
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Drake Maye — Rushing yards O/U 38.5
Following my colleague Jeff Schwartz’s “Bear Bets” angle, Seattle’s defense does a strong job limiting opposing quarterbacks’ scrambling. Maye has exceeded this mark in a few playoff games, but the number has bounced around and looks a touch high now.
Pick: Drake Maye — Under 38.5 rushing yards (-115)
Both teams to score in the first quarter
I’m expecting the game’s early flow to favor short, methodical drives — especially from Seattle’s short passing game — so an explosive opening quarter seems unlikely. A long field goal is always possible, but I think we could see a quiet start.
Pick: No team scores in the first quarter (-140)
Last scoring play of the game — touchdown
My read is Seattle could build a second-half lead big enough that New England won’t be attempting field goals late. A final margin that forces a FG attempt seems less likely than a touchdown sealing the game.
Pick: Final score of the game is a touchdown (-155)
First field goal — O/U 37.5 yards
If both offenses struggle to reach the red zone, the first successful field goal is likelier to be a longer attempt, rather than a chip-shot from close range.
Pick: First field goal is 37.5 yards or longer (-115)
Cooper Kupp — Longest reception O/U 16.5 yards
Kupp has made some postseason splash plays when defenses focused on other threats, but I see him mostly producing medium, move-the-chains catches of 10–15 yards rather than a single very long reception.
Pick: Cooper Kupp — Longest reception under 16.5 yards (-120)
Fan take: These prop plays matter because they highlight how matchups and game plans — not just raw star power — shape outcomes in single games, especially a Super Bowl. If trends like conservative opening quarters or long field-goal attempts become common, it could influence how coaches approach game management and how viewers bet and watch future marquee matchups.
