Two Pacific Division teams, both missing key players, face off at the Mortgage Matchup Center as the Phoenix Suns host the Golden State Warriors. Despite absences, the Suns hold an edge playing at home, bolstered by their deeper roster, making Phoenix the favorite to cover the spread in this matchup.
Here are my complimentary NBA predictions for Thursday, February 5th’s divisional clash:
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction
Top Pick: Suns -6.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors will once again be without Stephen Curry, leaving their squad seriously weakened for tonight’s game against Phoenix. Both Curry and Jimmy Butler are sidelined, while Buddy Hield and Jonathan Kuminga have been traded to Atlanta, and Trayce Jackson-Davis moved to Toronto.
Phoenix boasts the NBA’s best home ATS record at 17-7 and has covered the spread in 9 of 14 home games as favorites. On the other hand, Golden State’s road ATS stats stand at 10-15, including a 5-5 record as road underdogs, and they have struggled recently, going 2-5 ATS over the last seven games.
Though the Suns may be missing Devin Booker and Jalen Green, their deeper bench and home court advantage tilt the scales in their favor. Expect role players to step up—Phoenix should cover the spread comfortably.
Warriors vs. Suns Same Game Parlay (SGP)
The Suns have led the league in hitting the under at home, doing so in 17 of 24 games. The Warriors have reached the under in 6 of 10 games as road underdogs, and with a depleted lineup, Golden State will likely struggle to score.
Even if Jalen Green played, he wouldn’t be expected to perform at full strength, while Collin Gillespie is a capable substitute for Booker. Over the past decade, Gillespie has averaged 24.7 points, rebounds, and assists combined and is poised to build on his career-high 30-point effort.
Warriors vs. Suns SGP Picks:
- Collin Gillespie over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists
- De’Anthony Melton to score 16.5 points or more
With the Warriors lacking scoring options, De’Anthony Melton may take on the scoring mantle. In his last 12 games, Melton is averaging 15.3 points and has hit 16 or more points in six contests.
Odds Overview:
- Spread: Warriors +6.5 (-110) | Suns -6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors +210 | Suns -260
- Over/Under: 233.5 points (-110)
Betting Trends:
The Suns have covered the spread in 31 of their last 45 games, boasting a +15.60 unit profit and a 32% ROI. More detailed betting trends on the Warriors vs. Suns matchup are available.
Game Details:
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, Arizona
- Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM EST
- Broadcast: Prime Video
Latest Injury Report:
Neither team’s key players will be available, influencing the game’s dynamics significantly.
Disclaimer: This content is not intended for use with MA. Our team researches and selects products featured on this site; we may earn compensation if you sign up via our links.
Originally published on Covers.com.
Fan Take:
This game highlights how critical depth and home-court advantage can be when star players are missing, making it a fascinating test for team resilience. Basketball fans should watch closely, as it underscores the evolving importance of role players in shaping game outcomes and keeping the sport unpredictable.
