The Texas-based team featuring rising young stars is set to compete against Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs, who will be welcoming Cooper Flagg and the Dallas Mavericks this Saturday. Currently, the Spurs hold the second spot in the Western Conference with a 35-17 record, while the Mavericks are positioned 12th, posting 19 wins and 32 losses. Dallas is struggling with a six-game losing streak, whereas San Antonio has won four of their last five outings, including a 135-123 win against Dallas on the road this past Thursday. San Antonio’s De’Aaron Fox remains a doubtful starter due to a back injury.
The game is scheduled to begin at 6 p.m. ET at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Odds indicate the Spurs as 9.5-point favorites, with a total points line set at 231.5. For bettors considering wagers, the SportsLine Projection Model offers expert NBA predictions and betting guidance.
New users can leverage promotions like the DraftKings promo code, which provides up to $300 in bonus bets if a bet of $5 or more wins. SportsLine’s projection model runs 10,000 simulations of each NBA game and has generated over $10,000 in returns on $100 bets with its top recommendations over the past eight seasons. Entering the 16th week of the 2025-26 NBA season, the model boasts a strong 38-16 record on its top-rated NBA spread picks from last season through now.
The Spurs vs. Mavericks matchup has also been simulated 10,000 times by the model, which has revealed its betting predictions and insights. Fans and bettors can check SportsLine for the latest model picks, including the spread, over/under, and money line odds. Here’s a summary:
| Bet Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -9.5 |
| Over/Under | 231.5 points |
| Money Line | Spurs -417, Mavericks +322 |
| Picks | Available on SportsLine |
| Streaming | Available on Prime |
Additionally, new users can explore the bet365 bonus code, which offers a $100 bonus bet after placing a $10 wager.
How the Picks Were Made
Analyzing the 10,000 simulations, the SportsLine model favors the under on the 231.5 points total, with the under hitting about 52% of the time, projecting a final score near 230 points. Moreover, one side of the spread is expected to cover close to 70% of the games. For fans eager to know the winning side and the best spread pick, the full breakdown is available on SportsLine.
Fan Take: This matchup is crucial for basketball enthusiasts as it highlights the potential clash between established teams and emerging talents like Victor Wembanyama. The outcome could signal shifts in power balance in the Western Conference and provide exciting narratives for the future of the league.

