The PGA Florida Swing follows the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge. The tournament’s signature event status means the return of virtually all of the PGA’s top players, most of whom were unavailable at last week’s Cognizant Classic. The top 10 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are all in attendance, and Scottie Scheffler is atop FanDuel Sportsbook’s 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds board as of Thursday’s 7:40 a.m. ET first tee time.
He’s a +310 favorite (risk $100 to win $310), followed by Rory McIlroy at +1000. Tommy Fleetwood (+2000), Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200), Collin Morikawa (+2500) and Xander Schauffele (+2500) are the other favorites to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Before you finalize your 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, enter one of the Arnold Palmer Invitationals and exit contests, or make your PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out our golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer models.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times and found: golf gambling A pick with a history of being very profitable.
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Now that the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational has been confirmed, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards. This can be used for PGA selections, one-and-done contests, or golf DFS lineups.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions
One of the big surprises this model is conjuring for API 2026 is that Schauffele, one of the favorites to win and a two-time major champion, barely cracks the top 10 of the predicted leaderboard. He’s a declining golfer this week. The 32-year-old finished T7 at the last Genesis Invitational, but has finished T19 or lower in every other tournament this year. He has never finished in the top 20 in this tournament and barely made it to this event last year, finishing T40. See who else will be fading out here.
Another surprise: According to the model, Siwoo Kim is on track to win the title despite having slightly longer odds at +2700. Kim’s form has slowed down a bit over the past two tournaments, but she opened the season with four consecutive tournaments of T11 or better, including a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open. Find out who else to choose here.
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How to make the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational
This model also targets a huge longshot outright bet of +4000. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational? And which big long shot will shock the golf world? Check out the odds for the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard from a model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, favorites
Complete nominations, best bets and predictions for the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational are available here.
(Odds provided by FanDuel are subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +310
Rory McIlroy +1000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500
Kim Si Woo +2700
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Russell Henry +3500
Ludwig Oberg +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Cameron Young +3500
Kurt Kitayama +4000
Lee Min Woo +4000
Harris English +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Viktor Hovland +4000
Justin Rose +4500
Robert McIntyre +4500
Chris Gottterp +4500
Patrick Cantlay +4500
Sam Burns +5000
Rickie Fowler +5500
Ben Griffin +5500
Sepp Straka +5500
Ryan Gerald +5500
Jacob Bridgman +5500
Pierceson Coody +5500
Nikolai Hojgaard +6000
Maverick McNeely +6000
Adam Scott +6000
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Justin Thomas +7000
Jordan Spieth +7000
JJ Spurn+7000
Keegan Bradley +7000
Jason Day +8000
Nick Taylor +8000
Corey Connors +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +10000
Saheeth Seegala +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
Nico Echavarria +10000
Alex Noren+10000
Samuel Stevens +10000
Ryan Fox +10000
