The 2026 U.S. Open will be held at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club on Long Island, New York, starting Thursday, June 18th. This will be the sixth time a major tournament has been held on a links course; the last time the U.S. Open was held at Shinnecock, Brooks Koepka (2018) won. Koepka is one of 10 previous winners of the 2026 U.S. Open, along with Bryson DeChambeau, Jon Rahm, Matt Fitzpatrick and Rory McIlroy.
However, among the players who have yet to win this major, Scottie Scheffler (+550) leads the odds for the 2026 U.S. Open. McIlroy (+1000) is the only golfer below +1400 available for PGA bets as he seeks to become the 12th golfer to win seven major titles. Other candidates include Rahm (+1400), Cameron Young (+2000), and Ludvig Aberg (+2000). Before you finalize your 2026 U.S. Open contenders, be sure to check out the 2026 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
Please visit draft king promo code Check out our latest offers to get started.
Sports line unique golf gambling The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times. This same model was successful at a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, which will be the fifth consecutive Masters, and last year’s PGA Championship and British Open Championship.
Now that the US Open is set to take place in 2026, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards.
2026 US Open predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka
Pick one model for the 2026 U.S. Open: Brooks Koepka (+2200), who won the 2018 U.S. Open with Sinekook and is one of the 10 lowest-odds golfers this year, stumbled big and didn’t even crack the top 25. Koepka’s return season on the PGA Tour was uneven, with only one player finishing in the top 10 despite playing against a weak field due to non-contract eligibility. He also struggles both off the tee and on the green, as he ranks outside the top 100 of tour golfers in both driving accuracy percentage and strokes gained and putting.
Koepka has won five majors, but his recent performances make that seem like a long time ago. He has never finished in the top 10 in his past 12 major tournament appearances. The model doesn’t project Koepka anywhere near competing for another major championship this week, making him a player to avoid when betting on the U.S. Open.
New to sports trading? Visit us Karushi promo code Check out our latest offers to get started.
The model also locks in its prediction for Scheffler (+550), who would become the seventh player in the modern era to complete a career Grand Slam if he wins. His best finish in this major was a runner-up finish in 2022, and he has finished in the top seven in four of his last five U.S. Open appearances. Scheffler has finished in the top seven in six of the past seven majors, but he hasn’t been his typical dominant self in 2026.
Schaeffler had at least six wins in both 2024 and 2025, but just one this year. Still, he’s been in contention throughout the year, with half of his 12 tournaments finishing in the top three. Scheffler has never played at Sinekook before, and the last time he played the course for the first time in a major, he finished 14th at this year’s PGA Championship.
The model also looked at the odds (+1000) of McIlroy winning the U.S. Open twice since winning the U.S. Open 15 years ago in 2011. It was the Irishman’s first major win, the last time he missed the cut at the U.S. Open was in 2018 at Shinnecook. Historically, this was McIlroy’s weakest major tournament, with the most missed cuts (5) and the fewest ties for the lead. 5 seconds (4).
McIlroy ranks in the top five in SG:Total, SG:Tee-to-Green, and SG:Off-the-Tee, but ranks only 125th in Driving Accuracy Percentage. Shinnecock has wide fairways, but it’s still difficult because there’s 5 inches of thick rough surrounding the fairways. How McIlroy navigates the fairways with his less precise drives this year will go a long way in determining whether the Masters winner wins his second major of the year. See the complete U.S. Open predictions from the model here.
How to create a designated player for the 2026 US Open
The model also targets some long shots, including players with records over 30-1. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Open, which long shot will shock the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the 2026 U.S. Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to check out the prediction leaderboard. All of this from a model that has won 17 golf majors, including three in 2025, and five straight Masters.
2026 US Open odds, favorites
Get the complete 2026 US Open contenders, best predictions and predictions here.
Odds from FanDuel (subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +550
Rory McIlroy +1000
Jon Rahm +1400
Xander Schauffele +1600
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Cameron Young +2000
Ludwig Aberg +2000
Bryson DeChambeau +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Brooks Koepka +2200
Sam Barnes +3000
Tyrrell Hatton +3300
Justin Thomas +3500
Wyndham Clark +3500
Justin Rose +3500
Collin Morikawa +4000
Patrick Reed +4000
Russell Henry +4000
Kim Si Woo +4000
JJ Spurn+4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Chris Gottterp +4500
Viktor Hovland +5000
Patrick Cantlay +5000
Hideki Matsuyama +5500
Joaquin Niemann +5500
Jordan Spieth +6000
Aaron Rai +6000
Lee Min Woo +6000
Robert McIntyre +6000
Cameron Smith +6500
Ben Griffin +6500
Christopher Reitan +6500
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +7000
Tony Debate +7000
Jason Day +7000
Will Zaratris +7000
Maverick McNeely +7500
Jake Knapp +8000
JT Poston +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Akshay Bhatia +8000
Jacob Bridgman +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Alex Fitzpatrick +8000
Saheeth Seegala +10000
Harris English +10000
Corey Connors +10000
Daniel Berger +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Alex Noren+10000
Adam Scott +10000
Ryan Fox +10000
Max Homa +10000
Im Sung Jae +10000
Carlos Ortiz +10000
