The last three British Open Championships have all been won by Americans: Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Brian Herman. It’s the first time since 2003-2006 that an American-born golfer has won four consecutive majors, and many will look to end the drought at the 2026 British Open. In addition to the aforementioned players, Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Young and Windham Clark are also potential candidates to win the British Open in 2026. Meanwhile, Rory McIlroy, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose and Aaron Rye are among the British players aiming to win the British Open 2026, with matches starting on Thursday 16 July.
Scheffler is a +700 favorite (risk $100 to win $700) for Open Championship 2026 odds. McIlroy (+850), Fleetwood (+1500), Fitzpatrick (+1500), Jon Rahm (+2000), and Xander Schauffele (+2700) are favorites to win the British Open with odds under +3000. Jordan Spieth, who won the last British Open held at Royal Birkdale in 2017, is a +8000 jackpot. Before finalizing your 2026 British Open Championship contenders, be sure to check out the 2026 British Open Championship predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
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Sports line unique golf gambling The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times. This same model was successful at a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, which will be the fifth consecutive Masters, and last year’s PGA Championship and British Open Championship.
Now that the British Open is set to take place in 2026, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards.
Predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Windham Clark for the 2026 British Open Championship
Here’s one from the Open 2026 model: Windham Clark (+3300), the most recent major champion who won the US Open for the second time, stumbled badly and barely managed to crack the top 20. While Clark appears to understand the courses utilized at the U.S. Open, the same cannot be said for every other major. He has a total of 13 starts in three other majors, but only one top-20 finish. Out of these 13 times, the number of cut failures (6 times) and cut failures (7 times) are almost equal.
Royal Birkdale is one of the 10 shortest courses used during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule, so mileage doesn’t really matter. However, the course has over 100 bunkers, so accuracy is paramount. Clark ranks just 83rd in driving accuracy percentage and 65th in green percentage. Clark is a player who is likely to disappear in the British Open Championship stakes, so don’t expect him to climb the leaderboard again at this major.
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The model also examined the odds (+850) of McIlroy winning the British Open twice since winning the tournament 12 years ago in 2014. He remains the last Briton to win the British Open and is aiming to become the 12th golfer to win seven majors. McIlroy has been on the leaderboard in recent tournaments at this major, finishing in the top 10 three times and finishing 46th or lower three times in his past six Open Tournament appearances. He has a promising course history at Royal Birkdale, finishing fourth when the 2017 Open Championship was held at the course. If he can use this momentum to climb to the top of the leaderboard, McIlroy’s seventh major title will be the most by a British golfer alongside Harry Vardon.
The model also predicts that Scheffler (+700) will become the first player since Tiger Woods in 2005-06 to win back-to-back British Open titles with his victory at Royal Birkdale. Scheffler hasn’t had a bad performance at this major tournament, finishing in the top 25 in all five of his British Open appearances. His top-5 and top-10 finishes are on pace with the past two years, but his wins haven’t kept pace. He won his first tournament in 2026, but fell short in the next 13 tournaments.
The difference this year may be that Scheffler struggled in the opening round, despite leading the tour in points in the first game each of the past three seasons. However, he is ranked 34th this year and often finds himself in a hole that is difficult to climb out of. Still, Scheffler’s metrics are unparalleled on the PGA Tour, leading in total, average score, and average birdie strokes gained. Click here for the full British Open Championship predictions from this model.
How to create a designated player for the 2026 British Open
This model also targets some long shots, including players who thrive around 35-1. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 British Open, which long shot will shock the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the 2026 British Open Championship odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard. All of this from a model that has won 17 golf majors, including three in 2025, and five straight Masters.
2026 British Open Championship odds, favorite
Get the complete contenders, best bets and predictions for the 2026 British Open Championship here.
Odds from FanDuel (subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +700
Rory McIlroy +850
Tommy Fleetwood +1500
Matt Fitzpatrick +1500
Jon Rahm +2000
Xander Schauffele +2700
Collin Morikawa +3000
Viktor Hovland +3000
Robert McIntyre +3000
Wyndham Clark +3300
Chris Gottterp +3300
Cameron Young +3300
Tyrrell Hatton +3300
Ludwig Oberg +3300
Justin Rose +3300
Russell Henry +4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Kim Si Woo +4500
Tom Kim +4500
Sam Burns +4500
Lee Min Woo +5000
Patrick Reed +5000
Justin Thomas +5500
Aaron Rai +6000
Alex Fitzpatrick +6000
Bryson DeChambeau +6000
Patrick Cantlay +6000
Joaquin Niemann +6500
Brooks Koepka +7000
JJ Spurn+7000
Jordan Spieth +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +8000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Maverick McNeely +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Adam Scott +10000
Nikolai Hojgaard +10000
Harris English +10000
Kurt Kitayama +10000
Matt Wallace +10000
Ryan Gerald +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Christopher Reitan +10000
Alex Noren+10000
Corey Connors +12500
Tom McKibbin +12500
Eugenio Chacala +12500
Victor Perez +12500
Alex Smalley +15000
Bud Corey +15000
Cameron Smith +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
JT Poston +15000
David Puig +17500
Sepp Straka +17500
Jacob Bridgman +17500
Jake Knapp +17500
Marco money +17500
Jordan Smith +17500
Max Homa +17500
Michael Kim +17500
Casey Jarvis +17500
Nick Taylor +17500
Jason Day +17500
Gary Woodland +17500
Eric Cole +17500
Johnny Keefer +17500
Michael Thorbjornsen +17500
John Parry +22500
Haotong Li +22500
Saheth Segala +22500
Sam Stevens +22500
Max Glazerman +22500
Angel Ayora +22500
Harry Hall +22500
Matt McCarty +22500
Im Sung Jae +25000
Sam Valimaki +25000
Pierceson Coody +25000
Rasmus Hoygaard +25000
Andrew Novak +25000
Lucas Herbert +25000
Rory Canter +25000
Thomas Detrie +25000
Nico Echavarria +25000
Ryo Hisatsune +25000
Rasmus Neergaard Petersen +25000
Aldrich Potgieter +25000
Jaden Shaper +35000
Daniel Hillier +35000
Billy Horschel +35000
Jackson Suber +35000
Daniel Berger +35000
Michael Brennan +35000
Bernd Wiesberger +35000
Matthew Jordan +35000
Stewart Zinc +35000
Annie du Plessis +50000
Jesper Svensson +50000
Scott Vincent +50000
Keita Nakajima +50000
Daniel Brown +50000
Andy Sullivan +50000
Francesco Molinari +50000
Sean Norris +75000
Padraig Harrington +75000
Adrian Sadia +75000
Francesco Laporta +75000
Joe Dean +75000
Peter Uihlein +100000
Alejandro de Castro Piera +100000
Kota Kaneko +100000
Neville Reuter +100000
Matthew Southgate +100000
Bard Bjornevik Skogen +100000
Travis Smith +100000
Dan Bradbury +100000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100000
MJ Duffy+100000
Marcus Plunkett +100000
Cameron John +100000
Tiger Christensen +100000
Ryutaro Nagano +100000
Ham Jung Woo +100000
Lev Greenberg +100000
Martin Kubrera +100000
Jack Buchanan +100000
Joachim Lagergren +100000
Frédéric Lacroix +100000
Stuart Grehan +100000
Matthew Baldwin +100000
Kazuki Higa +100000
Sam Bairstow +100000
Darren Clarke +100000
FIFA Laopakdee +100000
David Duvall +100000
Mason Howell +100000
Ren Yonezawa +100000
Yang Ji Ho +100000
James Nicholas +100000
Michael Hollick +100000
David Howard +100000
Mateo Pulcini +100000
Kazuma Kobori +100000
Henrik Stenson +100000
Tim Wiedemeyer +100000
Jack McDonald +100000
Antoine Rosner +100000
Caleb Slatt +100000
Alistair Docherty +100000
Jose Luis Ballester +100000
Austin Truslow +100000
Tom Sloman +100000
