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Need assistance filling out your NASCAR season tournament bracket? Let me guide you through my picks for matchups coinciding with the regular season races over the next five weeks. Take my choices as a suggestion or a gamble, but proceed with caution.
For the first round in Atlanta, I’ve made some bold choices based on recent performances. Denny Hamlin (1) faces Ty Dillon (32), with Hamlin favored due to his better track record since Atlanta became a draft-style track. Kyle Busch (16) versus Brad Keselowski (17) is a tight call, but I lean towards Busch due to his consistent top-10 finishes and recent strong showings, whereas Keselowski has had some DNFs. Joey Logano (25) edges out Alex Bowman (8) because of Logano’s success on draft tracks. Bubba Wallace (9) is chosen over Daniel Suarez (24), despite Suarez’s win in Atlanta last year, as Wallace has been more consistent this season with high stakes driving in playoffs.
John Hunter Nemechek (12) is picked against Josh Berry (21) for his momentum and experience on draft tracks, and Chase Elliott (5) over Austin Dillon (28), considering Dillon’s lesser performance at this venue. Ross Chastain (13) faces Eric Jones (20) with Chastain’s better recent finishes earning the edge. Christopher Bell (4) beats Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (29) given Bell’s recent victories and the advantage of a former Stenhouse spotter. Chris Buescher (3) is favored over Todd Gilliland (30) for consistent performance, while Austin Cindric (19) might surprise Zane Smith (14) in a closely matched duel.
Kyle Gibbs (6) gets the nod over Justin Haley (27) due to better recent form and manufacturer support, and Michael McDowell (11) surpasses AJ Allmendinger (22) because of his stronger performance this year. Tyler Reddick (23) is chosen over Kyle Larson (10) based on improved draft track skills, despite Larson’s lower seed. Ryan Blaney (7) edges Carson Hocevar (26) for his consistent top-10 finishes, and William Byron (18) bests Ryan Preece (15) with his history of race wins. Chase Briscoe (2) is the favorite over Noah Gragson (31) due to recent victory momentum.
Moving to the second round at the Chicago Street Course, my picks continue to favor those who excel on road courses. Hamlin (1) is expected to outperform Busch (16). Joey Logano (25) edges out Bubba Wallace (9), while Chase Elliott (5) overtakes John Hunter Nemechek (12) based on recent finishes. Christopher Bell (4) is favored over Ross Chastain (13). Austin Cindric (19) narrowly beats Chris Buescher (3), and Kyle Gibbs (6) moves past Michael McDowell (11) due to his strong showing in Mexico City. Tyler Reddick (23) upsets Ryan Blaney (7), and William Byron (18) overcomes Chase Briscoe (2) with superior road course wins.
In the quarterfinals at Sonoma, Hamlin (1) takes on Logano (25), with Hamlin favored for consistency despite past poor finishes. Chase Elliott (5) surprises Christopher Bell (4), while Kyle Gibbs (6) outperforms Austin Cindric (19). Tyler Reddick (23) continues his streak, beating William Byron (18).
The semifinals at Dover feature Hamlin (1) versus Elliott (5), with Hamlin chosen due to his three wins this year against Elliott’s search for a first victory. Kyle Gibbs (6) is picked over Tyler Reddick (23) thanks to a slightly better average finish.
Finally, the championship at Indianapolis pits Hamlin (1) against Kyle Gibbs (6). This showdown reflects Hamlin’s initial idea of the tournament, and I predict Hamlin will claim this title.
Bob Pockras, a seasoned motorsports journalist covering NASCAR and INDYCAR for Fox Sports, shares these insights based on years of experience and recent race data.
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Fan Take: This tournament-style bracket brings a fresh and exciting dimension to NASCAR, giving fans a new way to engage with the sport. It highlights driver performance across diverse tracks and could reshape how we view competition throughout the season, making every race feel like a high-stakes matchup.