With the elite talent field and the infamous setup at the Oakmont Country Club, 2025 US Open offers plenty of plot and powerful betting opportunities. From favorites like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy to promising long shots and glamorous prop bets, there’s no shortage of ways to get involved in the action.
Whether you’re looking for value, trying to desert the public, or targeting course-specific trends, our experts are here to help you build sharper betting cards.
There are bets and props that Pamela Maldonado, Anita Marks, Tyler Fulgham and David Gordon stand out at the 2025 US Open.
The odds are accurate at the time of publication. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.
Who is your bet to win?
Rory McIlroy (12-1)
McIlroy was a +450 co-star at last month’s PGA Championship. Now he’s almost tripling the price thanks to some equipment issues. I believe that Rory will be back to the tournament where he solved the problem and finished runner-up in the last two years. He was the seventh or higher after each of the past 14 rounds at this event until 2021. David Gordon, ESPN Research
Collin Morikawa (22-1)
Morikawa has emotional control and analytical thinking that suits Oakmont. He started the hot for two years with two runner-ups in his first four stats, Sentry and Arnold Palmer, before being cooled down with one top-10 finish since March. He has a build to work on this course. He is fourth in accuracy and fifth in approach. We’ve seen what Morikawa can do when the putters work together a little. His putting can be a disaster, but that should be the case for everyone this week. If he plays the game while still calm, Morikawa quietly joins the mix in a mix, and no one will be surprised. – Pamela Maldonado, betting analyst
John Rahm (12-1)
Rahm has a long game that is perfect for success at Orcmont. He came in the week in great form and the talented Mojo is back! His T-14th at the Masters and T-8th at the PGA Championship say he can pull this off. Rahm leads Liv on the green in the proportion of regulations. This is a very important metric on this track. – Anitamarks, betting analyst
Who is your favorite bet to make the top 10?
XanderSchauffele (+210)
I lean towards epic tournament history in the form of a mediocre season with Schauffele and don’t think I’ll see it too often for him in the future. He has seven top-10 finishes in eight career appearances at the US Open, tied to his worst career finish (2022) in 14th place. It’s only a matter of time before Schaufele (139th place in strokes this season: Putting) gets his putter back. He then returned. – Gordon
Keegan Bradley (+475)
Golf is about trusting your swing. With his back-to-back top-10 finish and positive putting, Bradley has confidence. It’s confidence, timing, flow. Bradley is an all-out high-quality ball striker and is surprisingly strong around the green. He is not the most consistent major performer, but Captain Keegan’s best came in the tough venue. The putter is the most unstable aspect of his game, but Bradley has a ball strike ceiling high enough to win. If Oakmont is a pure tee to green survival test, Bradley is in the mix. – Maldonado
What is your favorite Scotty Schaeffler bet?
How to finish round 1 in the top 10 (+150)
Schaeffler was in the top 10 after 10 of the last 11 major rounds (91%) dating back to last year. Each of the past four US Open winners, and nine of the past 11, were among the top 10 after 18 holes. Given that Schaeffler is a banned favorite this week, it may be the best value for a three-time major champion. – Gordon
How to finish round 1 in the top 10 (+150)
Scotty maintains excellence. He’s not flashy, but he’s stable, especially in the early stages of the tournament. With third place on the tour on average in round one score, Schaeffler surpasses the elite from the jump. Scotty, who separated strokes to score the numbers in the round, went from the best from the iron and tee to the green in the opening round of the tournament, earning an average of 3.98 strokes in total. That’s why “waiting for a better number of shows” is usually not coming. He starts to get hot and keeps the rest of his path hard. – Maldonado
Who is your favorite long shot/value bet?
Keegan Bradley wins (75-1)
I feel good about this being more than just a doorway ticket. wild? yes. impossible? no. Putting and scrambling are red flags, but Bradley’s approach and ball strike floors are massive. He has two top ten in his past two starts, and his form is at a peak. He is currently green from the dynamite tee and ranks second on the field in the last 32 rounds. If you want a guy with long odds on winning level ball strikes, he belongs to your card. He’s already one of my top 20 picks and now he can also throw a top 5 at 10-1 as a top 10 option. Once, Captain Key Gun! – Maldonado
Cameron Young wins (100-1)
After a brutal start to the season, missing four cuts in five starting spans, Young scored a T-4th finish at the RBC Canada Open, starting three times in Pennsylvania and finishing seventh in Pennsylvania. He has many major championship experiences and successes, winning five top 10 between the 2022 PGA and 2024 Masters. – Gordon
Do other bets stand out for you?
Make a Cut-Perlay: Tommy Fleetwood and Harris English (-104)
English is midway through his career year and has never missed a cut at the US Open in nine career appearances. Fleetwood has not missed a cut this season, and has not even been outside the top 40 to 36 holes in his last 11 starts. It’s pretty comfortable to put two together for this one! – Gordon
Scotty Schaeffler Top 5 Finish (-140)
The juice is steep, but it may still be underrated. With 31 starts in January 2024, Schaeffler won the top five of 19, including 10 wins. Unlike most juice-heavy markets, this has the data to back it up. Schaeffler is not unstable, rarely posting bad rounds, and even with a cold putter, his ball strike alone can bring him closer to the top. There were multiple instances where he lost at least three strokes and still had T-11 or higher. If this is another player, juice will not be played, but Schaeffler is statistically reliable. – Maldonado
Dustin Johnson misses the cut (-120)
The DJ won the US Open at Oakmont in 2016. Since he moved to LIV in 2022, Johnson has not come close to competition in major competition. His best finish in 10 major starts since 2023 was the T31 in last year’s Open Championship. He missed five cuts, including both this year’s Master and PGA Championship. I keep vanishing him hard in a massive competition until the DJ shows us something else in his game. – Tyler Fulghum
Rory McIlroy to miss a cut (+290)
Rory hasn’t been the same golfer since winning the Masters. He shot 78 in the second round of the Canadian Open and didn’t play well for Quail Hollow. His driver problems are real and his iron play is not great. Has he lost his hunger after winning a Grand Slam? probably. – mark
LudvigÅberg Top 20 Finish (+155) and Top Nordic Golfer (+190)
Aberg is closer to winning Canadian Open, but I think he gets good value here to finish in Plus Money’s top 20. He drove the ball just like anyone on tour, and his last five rounds were in the 60s. – mark
Sepp Straka Top 20 Finish (+170)
Straka spent her career years, winning two tours this season and finishing third in the Memorial Tournament. He could dominate this course with a ball strike. Straka was No. 1 in the GIR and 4th Tee-Two Green, and was won on the approach on the second stroke, making him the top 10 driving accuracy. – mark
