Free agency began Monday evening, and many major moves were quickly finalized. Most team rosters are starting to take shape, and aside from surprises, there’s a general understanding of teams’ plans. However, some teams still face uncertainty regarding their next big moves, goals, and whether they possess enough talent to rebuild effectively.
Starting with the Lakers, things remain unclear. Although LeBron James expressed concern about the team’s situation last Sunday, Monday didn’t bring much relief. Key wing player Dorian Finney-Smith, who sparked the team’s midseason turnaround last year, signed a four-year deal with the Houston Rockets. The Lakers have young wing Jay Claravia, but he’s more developmental than proven. The team’s biggest gap is at center, made evident after trading Anthony Davis. Although big men like Clint Capela, Brook Lopez, and Luke Kornet signed elsewhere at high costs unlikely to be matched by the Lakers, DeAndre Ayton is likely their best or only viable option at center. With about $8 million left in exceptions to use on backups, the Lakers’ ability to make significant improvements via free agency is limited. The team appears focused on Luka Doncic’s timeline and preserving max cap space for 2027, when James is expected to retire, avoiding trading future draft capital to remain positioned for star acquisitions. There’s currently no trade momentum, and James could control any trade process since he has no trade clauses. However, given the offseason moves, it’s hard to see the Lakers competing for a championship this year.
The Boston Celtics face uncertainty at center after shedding their second-round apron. It’s unclear who will start at center next season as they failed to retain either Luke Kornet or Al Horford, with Kornet signing in San Antonio and Horford attracting interest from multiple teams. With Horford likely gone, the Celtics could rely on rotational player Neemias Queta or bench players Xavier Tillman and Luka Garza, but none are guaranteed starters. The Celtics seem to aim for reasonable competitiveness rather than championship contention, especially given injuries to star Jayson Tatum.
Denver traded Michael Porter Jr. for Cam Johnson, a move partly motivated by financial savings of about $17 million. This trade creates cap flexibility for Denver, including a $14.1 million mid-level exception for signing free agents and the option for sign-and-trade deals. Johnson offers reliability without Porter’s injury risks, making Denver’s starting lineup solid while also enabling the team to rebuild its bench, starting with 2023 champion Bruce Brown.
The Indiana Pacers surprised by quickly re-signing Myles Turner, reportedly willing to pay luxury tax for the first time in 20 years to keep him. However, Tyrese Halliburton’s Achilles injury may have forced a budget reassessment, given the uncertainty about deep playoff runs bringing revenue. This raises questions about possible sign-and-trade deals involving Turner or trades of other role players to avoid the tax. The Pacers have solid talent but may have to make tough financial decisions.
Golden State’s free agency start was slow despite ample resources, including full mid-level exceptions and some free agents to re-sign. They need clarity on Jonathan Kuminga, a restricted free agent with no cap space for a new contract unless a sign-and-trade is arranged. Kuminga could be pivotal in adding key pieces, possibly involving trades with teams like Miami or Indiana. The Warriors need a center to complement Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green, eyeing players like DeAndre Ayton, who Indiana tried to acquire last year. Sign-and-trade deals are complex under current cap rules, making immediate moves unlikely, but Kuminga’s status remains central to future major moves.
Fan Take: This flurry of free agency activity signals that several NBA teams are entering a transformative phase, balancing cap flexibility and strategic roster building. For basketball fans, these moves hint at a shifting competitive landscape where smart financial decisions and player development could redefine the balance of power in the league.