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Reading: NFL Offseason Power Rankings: Atlanta Falcons Take Bold Draft Gamble on Michael Penix Jr. at No. 21
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Sports Daily > NFL > NFL Offseason Power Rankings: Atlanta Falcons Take Bold Draft Gamble on Michael Penix Jr. at No. 21
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NFL Offseason Power Rankings: Atlanta Falcons Take Bold Draft Gamble on Michael Penix Jr. at No. 21

July 6, 2025 5 Min Read
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Here’s a rewritten version of the content in my own words:


Other NFL Team Previews are ranked as follows: 32. Titans, 31. Saints, 30. Browns, 29. Panthers, 28. Jets, 27. Giants, 26. Raiders, 25. Patriots, 24. Colts, 23. Dolphins, 22. Jaguars, and 20. Steelers.

The Atlanta Falcons made one of the most controversial draft choices in recent NFL history by selecting a quarterback eighth overall last year, a move that sparked widespread debate and skepticism. Nearly everyone criticized the pick at the time—media outlets called it a failure on multiple levels, questioned the logic of drafting a quarterback when Kirk Cousins was still the presumed starter, and labeled the decision as a questionable reach.

Fan polls reflected this sentiment, with nearly half rating the pick poorly and very few expressing optimism. However, a year later, what seemed like madness now looks like insight. Michael Penix Jr. took over late in the season, replacing the underperforming Cousins and showing glimpses of promise. The Falcons have since named Penix as their starter for 2025. This unconventional strategy challenged traditional NFL norms and, despite the initial backlash, the Falcons made a significant financial and strategic commitment to Penix. Many struggling teams would envy such a clear path to a potential franchise quarterback.

Penix’s rookie stats were modest—58.1% completion rate, three touchdowns, three interceptions, and a passer rating of 78.9—but his flashes of talent during three starts encouraged the Falcons to embrace a new era. Head coach Raheem Morris acknowledged the team’s weaknesses, especially in defense, but sees Penix as a bright spot and the key moving forward.

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With offensive weapons like Bijan Robinson and Drake London, Atlanta’s attack shows potential, while efforts to bolster a historically weak defense include adding rookie pass rushers Jaron Walker and James Pierce Jr., plus new defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbric. Despite finishing 8-9 last season, the Falcons aim to improve on all fronts and contend in the NFC South.

While the Falcons’ aggressive offseason trade for Pierce Jr. faced criticism for costing multiple future picks, the need for a stronger pass rush justified the move. The team also re-signed cornerback Mike Hughes and added linebacker Diablo, Leonard Floyd, and Morgan Fox to enhance their defense, though they lost key player Grady Jarrett due to salary cap constraints.

Quarterback-wise, Cousins remains on the roster as a reliable veteran backup in case Penix faces injury or struggles. Penix’s history of college injuries remains a concern, but the Falcons’ investment in him shows their belief in his upside.

Betting odds reflect skepticism, with the Falcons unlikely to make the playoffs according to betMGM. Fantasy football insight highlights Bijan Robinson as an exciting young RB emerging as a top target, while statistics show Robinson and London among the league’s top offensive producers.

Atlanta continues to rely heavily on Robinson and London, with minimal additions to other skill positions. The crucial question remains whether rookie pass rushers Walker and Pierce can reverse years of defensive struggles, as the Falcons haven’t had a top-tier defense in decades and have struggled particularly in getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

The best-case scenario for the Falcons sees Penix emerging as a franchise QB, leading a potent offense that, combined with defensive improvements, could bring sustained success and NFC South dominance. Conversely, the worst-case scenario involves Penix not reaching his potential, forcing reliance on an aging Cousins while the team continues to struggle.

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Overall, Penix should develop well given his talent, but becoming an instant star is unlikely. The defense taking a major step forward is also a tall order. The Falcons may face growing pains but could have laid a foundation for future success.


Fan Take: This storyline matters to NFL fans because it highlights the risk and reward of drafting quarterbacks who don’t fit the traditional mold. The Falcons’ bold gamble on Michael Penix Jr. could reshape how teams evaluate and develop quarterbacks, impacting the league’s future approach to building winning franchises.

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