There’s a busy schedule of MLB player prop bets available for Saturday, with all 30 teams playing. Mets pitcher Kodai Senga, who recently helped the Mets sweep the Giants, is pitching against San Francisco again. Although Senga’s ERA stands at 2.80 on a 3-0 run, his strikeout line is set at 6.5 for this game, and he has a higher ERA of 6.30 when facing the Giants in his two prior starts. Given he hasn’t reached seven strikeouts in his last five outings, the under 6.5 strikeouts bet is favored by Sportsline models. Other highlighted MLB prop bets for Saturday include Cardinals outfielder Victor Scott II stealing bases at +350 odds and Tigers outfielder Riley Green hitting a home run at +475.
MLB Player Props offer bettors a way to find value with wagers on nearly every player’s performance in games, supported by Sportsline’s computer model that simulates all MLB games 10,000 times. This model has been profitable this season, especially with home run prop picks yielding about 40 units of profit. Examples of notable Saturday player props include Victor Scott with stolen bases over 0.5 at +350, which is a good value against Padres pitcher Randy Vazquez who struggles to prevent steals. Kodai Senga is a recommended bet to strike out under 6.5 at -130, since he has failed to surpass this total in most recent games. Riley Green, who leads Detroit in home runs this season and is currently in good hitting form, is also a strong pick for a home run over 0.5 at +475, and this bet is available at BET365 with a bonus offer.
A helpful cheat sheet is provided by Sportsline, ranking top projected home run hitters, stolen base leaders, and striking pitchers to assist bettors in finding value compared to sportsbook lines. This resource helps fans maximize their betting strategy by spotting when sportsbooks’ odds are more favorable than the model predictions.
Fan Take: This comprehensive analysis of player prop bets highlights key players and matchups that could impact game outcomes and betting strategies. For baseball fans, it underscores the growing role of data-driven insights in enhancing engagement and excitement around MLB games, potentially changing how fans interact with the sport.