The Philadelphia Phillies and Detroit Tigers, two division champions from the 2025 MLB playoffs who both earned the right to host this series, will clash in Sunday night baseball. The Phillies topped the NL East, narrowly ahead of the New York Mets by half a game, while the Tigers held an eight-game lead in the AL Central. Sunday’s game features a pitching duel between Philadelphia’s Christopher Sanchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA) and Detroit’s Charlie Morton (7-8, 5.42 ERA). This showdown will be the decisive third game, following Philadelphia’s victory in Game 1 and Detroit’s win in Game 2.
The action starts at 7:10 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Philadelphia enters the game as favorites, with a $186 risk to win, while Detroit is the underdog at +151 odds (a $100 bet returns $151). The projected total runs scored is set at 8.5. Odds for Morton’s total outs are 15.5, with a line of 5.5 for the total outs thrown. For those considering wagering, Sportsline’s trusted MLB models offer predictions to guide bets on this game and others, available via DraftKings, with promo codes for betMGM and FanDuel also highlighted for new bettors.
The Sportsline Projection Model runs 10,000 simulations for each MLB game. During week 19 of the 2025 season, the top MLB Money Line Pick was entered, which has notably brought over 40 units in profit this year through well-calculated home run prop selections. Fans following sportsbooks or betting apps have likely seen impressive returns from these predictions.
New users can also benefit from deals such as betMGM’s offer, giving up to a $1,500 bonus bet if their first wager loses.
Top three best bets for Phillies vs. Tigers:
Spencer Torkelson to have over 0.5 total bases (-169)
Torkelson, the former No. 1 overall pick, has had his best season yet with at least one total base in 67 out of 106 games. He boasts a .801 OPS overall and an even stronger .968 OPS against left-handed pitchers, matching up with Philadelphia’s lefty on Sunday. The model forecasts he’ll average 1.9 total bases in the game and rates this as a five-star pick.Kyle Schwarber to have over 0.5 RBI (+133)
Schwarber earned his 87th RBI of the season in Detroit’s Game 1 win in Philadelphia, having registered RBIs in 52 of 109 games this year. Given this and his strong 7-23 record lifetime against Morton, including two home runs, three RBIs, and a 1.017 OPS, this pick holds significant value.- Christopher Sanchez to allow more than 1.5 runs (-170)
Sanchez is in the running for the NL Cy Young Award with a 2.55 ERA and 139 strikeouts over 130⅔ innings. However, his recent outing against the White Sox saw him surrender two homers and four runs over 6⅔ innings, ending his six-start streak of allowing just one run. In total, he’s allowed more than one run in 10 games this season, and the model predicts he will give up 2.3 runs tonight.
For more MLB betting picks on Sunday, expert Bruce Marshall, who has netted nearly 16 units over his last 143 picks, offers additional insights.
Fan Take: This series highlights the intense competitiveness between two strong divisional champions, offering thrilling pitching matchups and key player performances that can shift momentum. For baseball fans, it’s a must-watch that not only promises great entertainment but could have major playoff implications moving forward.
