The New York Knicks aim to capitalize on their strong home record as they face the Cleveland Cavaliers in an Eastern Conference showdown during the 2025 NBA Christmas Day lineup. While the Cavaliers secured a 141-118 win against New Orleans recently, the Knicks fell 115-104 to Minnesota on the same day. Cleveland currently holds a 17-14 record and standings second in the Central Division with a 6-6 road record, whereas the Knicks lead the Atlantic Division at 20-9, boasting a 14-2 home record. Notably, Cleveland’s Evan Mobley will be sidelined due to a calf injury.
The game will take place at Madison Square Garden at noon ET. Although the Knicks lead the overall series 122-109, the Cavaliers have won four out of the last five matchups. SportsLine Consensus has set New York as a 6.5-point favorite with a total over/under of 239.5 points. The SportsLine Projection Model, which has a strong track record of successful predictions, has run 10,000 simulations of this game to provide in-depth betting insights.
This model shows a preference for the game going over the 239.5 points total, aligning with recent trends where Cleveland has exceeded this total in their last three games and New York in four of their last six. Key players expected to stand out include Donovan Mitchell for Cleveland, with an average prediction of 26.4 points, and Jalen Brunson for New York, expected to score 28.3 points, alongside several other teammates contributing significantly. Bettors and fans can find the latest picks and betting lines on SportsLine, where the model also highlights picks that have beaten the spread over 60% of the time.
Fan Take: This Christmas Day matchup is a must-watch for basketball fans as it highlights the strategic battle between two strong Eastern Conference teams, with the Knicks defending their dominant home court while the Cavaliers seek to avenge recent losses. The high-scoring potential and key player performances could make this game a thrilling showcase of NBA talent and competitive spirit.

