On Christmas Day of the 2025 NBA schedule, the Golden State Warriors will play host to the Dallas Mavericks, two Western Conference rivals. The Mavericks currently hold the 11th spot in the Western Conference standings with a 12-19 record, while the Warriors sit 8th with a balanced record of 15-15. Dallas will be missing Kyrie Irving due to a knee injury for the foreseeable future, and Golden State is monitoring the game-day status of Klay Thompson (knee) and P.J. Washington (foot). The matchup will begin at 5:00 PM ET from Chase Center, with Golden State favored by 8.5 points and an over/under set at 227.5 points.
SportsLine’s advanced projection model, which has a strong track record of profitable NBA betting predictions, has simulated this game 10,000 times. The model favors the under on the total points, projecting a final combined score right around 227 points, and suggests the Warriors covering the spread nearly 60% of the time. Fans and bettors can check SportsLine for detailed picks and betting advice to make informed decisions. Additionally, new users of sportsbooks like DraftKings and bet365 can take advantage of promotional bonus bets to enhance their betting experience.
Fan Take: This Christmas clash is significant as it showcases two competitive teams fighting for standing in the West during a crucial midseason stage. For basketball fans, it offers a thrilling holiday game with key players returning from injuries, potentially impacting playoff races and giving early insight into team dynamics for the remainder of the season.
