The first two months of the 2025-26 NBA season have sparked what might be the most thrilling MVP contest ever seen. Nikola Jokic is on track to break records for PER, BPM, and Win Shares per 48 minutes, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander holds historic ranks in these stats, even surpassing Jokic in EPM, a leading MVP predictor. Jokic leads in rebounds and assists, and Gilgeous-Alexander’s Thunder are projected to finish an outstanding 70-12. Gilgeous-Alexander nearly scores a point every minute, matching feats by legends like Wilt Chamberlain and Joel Embiid, while Jokic is close to an unprecedented 60-40-90 shooting season. Both are having seasons among the best ever seen in only two months.
Despite this, Jokic’s recent knee hyperextension injury, sidelining him for at least a month, likely ends his MVP chances this season. Missing the required 65 games for eligibility will take him out of the running, with his return uncertain. Gilgeous-Alexander now holds a clear edge, leading the league with a +10.1 EPM, far ahead of the next contenders. His 8th highest BPM of all time, combined with his scoring prowess on the league’s best team, makes him the overwhelming favorite if he stays healthy.
Gilgeous-Alexander stands among elite company as a potential multiple MVP winner before turning 28, joining icons like LeBron James and Stephen Curry. While no player has won three consecutive MVPs since Larry Bird, the Oklahoma City star is positioned to dominate MVP races through his prime. The Thunder are on the verge of becoming perennial contenders, and Gilgeous-Alexander’s continued growth could rewrite NBA history.
This season offers a rare chance to witness Gilgeous-Alexander’s rise amid Jokic’s misfortune. If he maintains health, he is poised to surpass legends like Kobe Bryant in MVP accolades and solidify himself as one of the NBA’s best. The Thunder’s strong roster further boosts his championship hopes, making this an exciting era for basketball fans.
Fan Take: This MVP battle highlights how basketball’s landscape is shifting toward new superstars ready to take over the league. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s emergence not only promises thrilling seasons ahead but also symbolizes the dawn of a new era that could redefine greatness in the NBA.
