The 2026 Australian Open Women’s Semi-Finals will be held on Thursday morning, with Aryna Sabalenka facing Elina Svitolina at 3:30 a.m. ET, followed by Elena Rybakina vs. Jessica Pegula. Sabalenka has reached the Australian Open semifinals four years in a row and is 10-0 so far this season. She has reached at least the semifinals in 12 of the past 14 tournaments and is 3-0 in Australian Open semifinals. SportsLine tennis expert Jose Onorato supports Sabalenka as the favorite with a 4.5-game lead over Svitolina.
Onorato also revealed the best bet for the second semi-final between Pegula and Rybakina. Before finalizing your Australian Open favorites for the first Grand Slam of the season, be sure to check out Onorato’s top tennis betting picks.
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Best bets for Australian Open women’s semi-finals:
- Sabalenka -4.5 games vs. Svitolina (-110)
- Rybakina vs. Pegula over 21.5 games (-120)
Sabalenka -4.5 games vs. Svitolina (-110)
“Sabarenka played ruthlessly in Melbourne, never dropping a set and overwhelming her opponents with serve and baseline power,” Onorato said. “She defeated Iva Jovic with ease and continued to dominate points from the first strike. Svitolina deserves credit for her straight-sets win over Gauff, but this matchup is a different matter. Sabalenka has won four of her last five fights, most of them. It was an easy win, and her ability to break early and defend her serve keeps Svitolina under constant pressure on the scoreboard. If Arena can control her first serve, things should quickly turn around and stay within straight sets.”
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Rybakina vs. Pegula over 21.5 games (-120)
“Rybakina flattened Światek in the quarterfinals and used the weight of her serve and shots to take the initiative early on and show her limits again,” Onorato said. “Pegula reached her first Australian Open semi-final by staying calm and making good returns. That consistency gives her a way to stay competitive in sets. Their head-to-head matches are tied, and sets tend to go up when these two meet. Even if Rybakina is the more dangerous player overall, Pegula is consistent enough to force long games and tie-breaks to get past safe angles.”
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