Jordan Spieth is in a league of its own when it comes to career points average at the Masters. He entered the 2026 Masters with an average of 70.98 points at Augusta National, the highest ever among golfers who played at least 25 rounds. It’s been 11 years since Spieth won his only green jacket, but it’s clear he was competitive, even if he came up just short. Jon Rahm has the second-lowest scoring average for the 2026 Masters at 71.00, followed by Xander Schauffele (71.30).
This year’s event begins Thursday, and Rahm is also No. 2 on the 2026 Masters odds board. His +950 PGA odds are second only to Scottie Scheffler (+500), with Schauffele at +1600. Despite Spieth’s success, it has been more than a decade since his only victory was recorded as a +4500 long shot in golf. Before you lock in your 2026 Masters picks, be sure to check out our golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times. This same model was successful at a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters, which will be the fourth consecutive Masters, and last year’s PGA Championship and British Open Championship.
Now that the 2026 Masters field is confirmed, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards.
2026 Masters predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm
One of the shocks of this model at the 2026 Masters was that Rahm (+950), the 2023 Masters champion and one of this year’s favorites, stumbled and didn’t even crack the top five on the leaderboard. Since winning two years ago, Rahm has only won one more 72-hole world tournament. That lack of success carries over into major tournaments, where he simply lacks competitiveness more often than he would have liked. Since the 2023 Masters, Rahm has finished 34th or worse at a major four times, but only once in the top five. The Spaniard is a player to avoid in Masters betting, given his very short PGA odds.
The model also has a solid prediction for Scheffler (+500), a two-time Masters winner and this year’s favorite to win. Scheffler has an astonishing 101 under par in his major tournament career, which is the all-time record. However, his 2026 was a bit of an eventful year. He entered the Masters on his longest winless streak in nearly four years, and had to withdraw from the last tournament due to the birth of his son. However, Scheffler has posted top-seven finishes in each of his past five starts at a major championship, so his ability to consistently stay in contention at big events cannot be ignored.
The model also examined the likelihood (+1200) of McIlroy becoming the fourth golfer to win consecutive green jackets. Last year’s victory was not only the crowning achievement of McIlroy’s career, but also his first major victory in 11 years. His long game metrics have been strong this year, with top-five rankings in total strokes gained, SG: tee-to-green, and SG: off-the-tee, but he’s lagging on the greens, ranking outside the top 100 in SG: putting. The Irishman has had limited participation in PGA events this year, finishing just three tournaments with mixed success. He was runner-up at Genesis, 14th at Pebble Beach, and 46th at The Players after winning the 2025 tournament. See the full Masters predictions from the model here.
How to make a 2026 Masters nomination
The model also targets two big-name players at +4000 or above who could do great at Augusta this year. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 Masters, hit the long shot that will shock the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy finish? Check out the 2026 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the predicted leaderboard. All of this from a model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025, and four straight Masters.
2026 Masters odds, favorites
Get the complete 2026 Masters contenders, best bets and predictions here.
Odds from FanDuel (subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +500
Jon Rahm +950
Bryson DeChambeau +1000
Rory McIlroy +1200
Ludwig Oberg +1500
Xander Schauffele +1600
Matt Fitzpatrick +2000
Cameron Young +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Collin Morikawa +3000
Justin Rose +3000
Robert McIntyre +3300
Patrick Reed +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Lee Min Woo +4000
Chris Gottterp +4500
Jordan Spieth +4500
Brooks Koepka +4500
Kim Si Woo +5000
Shane Lowry +5500
Russell Henry +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Akshay Bhatia +6000
Patrick Cantlay +6500
Jacob Bridgman +6500
Nikolai Hojgaard +6500
Jake Knapp +7000
Adam Scott +7000
Sepp Straka +7000
Tyrrell Hatton +7000
JJ Spurn+7000
Justin Thomas +7000
Corey Connors +8000
Marco money +8000
Im Sung Jae +10000
Sam Burns +10000
Harris English +10000
Cameron Smith +10000
Jason Day +10000
Maverick McNeely +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Brian Harman +12500
Max Homa +12500
Daniel Berger +15000
Rasmus Hoygaard +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Aaron Rai +15000
Ryan Fox +17500
Casey Jarvis +17500
Keegan Bradley +17500
Dustin Johnson +17500
Alex Nolen +17500
Harry Hall +17500
Ryan Gerald +17500
Sam Stevens +22500
Nick Taylor +22500
Michael Kim +22500
Wyndham Clark +22500
Max Glazerman +25000
Sam Valimaki +25000
Sergio Garcia +25000
Haotong Li +25000
Nicola Echavarria +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Aldrich Potgieter +25000
Rasmus Neergaard Petersen +35000
Andrew Novak +35000
Tom McKibbin +35000
Michael Brennan +50000
Christopher Reitan +50000
John Keefer +50000
Matt McCarty +50000
Davis Riley +75000
Bubba Watson +75000
Charles Schwartzel +75000
Zach Johnson +75000
Angel Cabrera +100000
Mason Howell +100000
FIFA Lao Pakdee +100000
Ethan Fang +100000
Brian Campbell +100000
Vijay Singh +100000
Jose Maria Olazabal +100000
Brandon Holtz +100000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100000
Danny Willett +100000
Jackson Herrington +100000
fred couple +100000
Mateo Pulcini +100000
Mike Weir +100000
