The past three British Opens have all been won by Americans: Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele and Brian Herman. It’s the first time since 2003-2006 that an American-born golfer has won four consecutive majors, and many will look to end the drought at the 2026 British Open. In addition to the aforementioned players, Bryson DeChambeau, Cameron Young and Windham Clark are also potential candidates to win the British Open in 2026. Meanwhile, British players such as Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose and Aaron Rye are aiming to win the British Open in 2026.
Scheffler is a +700 favorite (risk $100 to win $700) for Open Championship 2026 after winning last year. McIlroy (+850), Matt Fitzpatrick (+1500), Tommy Fleetwood (+1800) and Jon Rahm (+2200) round out the top five. Jordan Spieth, who won the last British Open hosted by Royal Birkdale in 2017, has a +6500 potential bet on the 2026 British Open. Before finalizing your 2026 British Open Championship contenders, be sure to check out the 2026 British Open Championship predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
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Sports line unique golf gambling The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times. This same model was successful at a whopping 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, which will be the fifth consecutive Masters, and last year’s PGA Championship and British Open Championship.
Now that the British Open is set to take place in 2026, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards.
Predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Windham Clark for the 2026 British Open Championship
Here’s one from the Open 2026 model: Windham Clark (+3000), the most recent major champion who won the US Open for the second time, stumbled badly and barely managed to crack the top 25. While Clark appears to have a grasp on the courses used at the U.S. Open, the same cannot be said for every other major. He has a total of 13 starts in three other majors, but only one top-20 finish. Out of these 13 times, the number of cut failures (6 times) and cut failures (7 times) are almost equal.
Royal Birkdale is one of the 10 shortest courses used during the 2026 PGA Tour schedule, so mileage doesn’t really matter. However, the course has over 100 bunkers, so accuracy is paramount. Clark ranks just 83rd in driving accuracy percentage and 65th in green percentage. Clark is a player who is likely to disappear in the British Open Championship stakes, so don’t expect him to climb the leaderboard again at this major.
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The model also examined the odds (+800) of McIlroy winning the British Open twice since winning the tournament 12 years ago in 2014. He remains the last Briton to win the British Open and is aiming to become the 12th golfer to win seven majors. McIlroy has been on the leaderboard in recent tournaments at this major, finishing in the top 10 three times and finishing 46th or lower three times in his past six Open Tournament appearances. He has a promising course history at Royal Birkdale, finishing fourth when the 2017 Open Championship was held at the course. If he can use this momentum to climb to the top of the leaderboard, McIlroy’s seventh major title will be the most by a British golfer alongside Harry Vardon.
The model also predicts that Scheffler (+700) will become the first player since Tiger Woods in 2005-06 to win back-to-back British Open titles with his victory at Royal Birkdale. Scheffler hasn’t had a bad performance at this major tournament, finishing in the top 25 in all five of his British Open appearances. His top-5 and top-10 finishes are on pace with the past two years, but his wins haven’t kept pace. He won his first tournament in 2026, but fell short in the next 13 tournaments.
The difference this year may be that Scheffler struggled in the opening round, despite leading the tour in points in the first game each of the past three seasons. However, he is ranked 34th this year and often finds himself in a hole that is difficult to climb out of. Still, Scheffler’s metrics are unparalleled on the PGA Tour, leading in total, average score, and average birdie strokes gained. Click here for the full British Open Championship predictions from this model.
How to create a designated player for the 2026 British Open
This model also targets some long shots, including players who thrive around 35-1. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 British Open, which long shot will shock the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the 2026 British Open Championship odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard. All of this from a model that has won 17 golf majors, including three in 2025, and five straight Masters.
2026 British Open Championship odds, favorite
Get the complete contenders, best bets and predictions for the 2026 British Open Championship here.
Odds from FanDuel (subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +700
Rory McIlroy +850
Matt Fitzpatrick +1500
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Jon Rahm +2200
Xander Schauffele +2500
Wyndham Clark +3000
Chris Gottterp +3000
Collin Morikawa +3000
Cameron Young +3000
Justin Rose +3000
Ludwig Oberg +3300
Robert McIntyre +3300
Tyrrell Hutton +3500
Viktor Hovland +4000
Russell Henry +4500
Sam Burns +4500
Bryson DeChambeau +5000
Tom Kim +5000
Patrick Reed +5500
Shane Lowry +6000
Brooks Koepka +6000
Joaquin Niemann +6000
Justin Thomas +6000
Kim Si Woo +6000
Aaron Rai +6500
Lee Min Woo +6500
Alex Fitzpatrick +6500
Jordan Spieth +6500
Patrick Cantlay +7000
Rickie Fowler +10000
Maverick McNeely +10000
Brian Harman +10000
Corey Connors +10000
Adam Scott +10000
Nikolai Hojgaard +10000
Harris English +10000
Kurt Kitayama +10000
Cameron Smith +10000
JJ Spurn+10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Christopher Reitan +10000
Ben Griffin +10000
Hideki Matsuyama +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
David Puig +12500
Sepp Straka +12500
Marco money +12500
Eugenio Chacala +12500
Alex Nolen +12500
Jason Day +12500
Victor Perez +12500
Jacob Bridgman +15000
Bud Corey +15000
Jake Knapp +15000
Jordan Smith +15000
Rasmus Hoygaard +15000
Max Homa +15000
Ryan Gerald +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Angel Ayora +15000
Johnny Keefer +15000
Im Sung Jae +17500
Alex Smalley +17500
Jaden Shaper +17500
Haotong Li +17500
Saheth Segala +17500
Tom McKibbin +17500
Matt Wallace +17500
Keegan Bradley +17500
Harry Hall +17500
Keith Mitchell +17500
Gary Woodland +17500
Ryo Hisatsune +17500
Eric Cole +17500
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +17500
JT Poston +17500
Andrew Novak +22500
Lucas Herbert +22500
Thomas Detrie +22500
Daniel Berger +22500
Casey Jarvis +22500
Max Glazerman +22500
Michael Brennan +22500
Louis Westhuizen +25000
Pierceson Coody +25000
Billy Horschel +25000
Jackson Suber +25000
Michael Kim +25000
Matthew Jordan +25000
Matt McCarty +25000
John Parry +35000
Annie du Plessis +35000
Jesper Svensson +35000
Daniel Hillier +35000
Sam Stevens +35000
Scott Vincent +35000
Keita Nakajima +35000
Nick Taylor +35000
Daniel Brown +35000
Bernd Wiesberger +35000
Michael Hollick +35000
Peter Uihlein +50000
Sam Valimaki +50000
Rory Canter +50000
Nico Echavarria +50000
Francesco Laporta +50000
Kota Kaneko +75000
Matthew Southgate +75000
Joachim Lagergren +75000
Sean Norris +75000
Frédéric Lacroix +75000
Sam Bairstow +75000
Padraig Harrington +75000
Kazuma Kobori +75000
Andy Sullivan +75000
Francesco Molinari +75000
Adrian Sadia +75000
Antoine Rosner +75000
Caleb Surratt +75000
Jose Luis Ballester +75000
Alejandro de Castro Piera +100000
Neville Reuter +100000
Bard Bjornevik Skogen +100000
Travis Smith +100000
Dan Bradbury +100000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100000
MJ Duffy+100000
Marcus Plunkett +100000
Cameron John +100000
Tiger Christensen +100000
Ryutaro Nagano +100000
Ham Jung Woo +100000
Lev Greenberg +100000
Martin Kubrera +100000
Jack Buchanan +100000
Stuart Grehan +100000
Matthew Baldwin +100000
Kazuki Higa +100000
Darren Clarke +100000
FIFA Laopakdee +100000
David Duvall +100000
Mason Howell +100000
Ren Yonezawa +100000
Yang Ji Ho +100000
James Nicholas +100000
David Howard +100000
Mateo Pulcini +100000
Henrik Stenson +100000
Tim Wiedemeyer +100000
Stewart Zink +100000
Jack McDonald +100000
Alistair Docherty +100000
Austin Truslow +100000
Tom Sloman +100000
