Last week, we explored the most promising betting markets for the 2025 NFL season, highlighting key values ranging from the top favored bet at +1300 to the longshot at +8000. Today, we’re focusing on the opposite end: teams expected to have the fewest victories. Bettors interested in this market can use the DraftKings promo code to get started.
In the previous season, the Titans, Giants, and Browns shared the lowest win totals, allowing DraftKings bettors to benefit from dead heat reductions. For 2025, the Browns are once again favored to have the fewest wins at +400, followed closely by the Saints at +425. Interestingly, despite this, the Saints are viewed as stronger contenders to surpass 4.5 wins (-230 odds) compared to the Browns and others.
Since the NFL schedule was released in early May, CBS Sports has analyzed win totals for the Saints and other teams across divisions like the NFC East, North, South, and West, as well as the AFC. Detailed projections using SportsLine models for both conferences were shared earlier this month.
Here are the lowest win totals odds at DraftKings as of May 30, along with some preferred picks and notable longshots.
Top Pick: Giants +600
While many favor the Browns or Saints, I’m leaning toward the Giants despite the tough schedule they face. The Giants have one of the hardest first halves, with challenging opponents like the Chiefs, Chargers, Eagles, and 49ers, and potential coaching changes midseason. Their road games, including clashes with the Saints and Bears, are also tough, making their odds attractive in this market.
Midrange Value: Jaguars +3000
The Jaguars won only four games last year but are being treated as if they’re an eight-win team affected by bad luck, especially due to Trevor Lawrence’s injury. However, with a new head coach and Lawrence’s expected development, this could be a transitional year. It’s more realistic to see setbacks here, making the Jaguars an interesting medium longshot.
Top Sleeper: Patriots +7000
The Patriots appear undervalued after finishing last season poorly but have made significant offseason moves. Success will likely depend on quarterback Drake May’s growth and Mike Vrabel’s coaching. Despite an easy schedule, betting on the Patriots as one of the lowest win teams is a gamble on optimistic projections.
Longshot: Broncos +13000
The Broncos surprised many with a playoff run in 2024 behind rookie QB Bo Nix, though he regressed in his second year. With newcomers like Evan Engram and a defense that finished strong last season, Denver’s odds here seem too long. If their defense maintains its strength, they likely won’t be among the teams with the fewest wins.
Fan Take: This analysis provides NFL fans with intriguing insights into which teams might struggle next season, adding a fresh dimension to offseason conversations. Understanding these odds not only spices up betting strategies but also highlights the unpredictable nature of the league, where underdogs and sleepers can dramatically alter expectations.
