Today marks American Thanksgiving, a time when NHL teams currently in playoff contention should feel fortunate. Historically, about 75% of NHL teams in the playoffs at this stage make it through to the postseason, while the remaining 25% unfortunately squander their opportunities.
Last Thanksgiving saw the New York Rangers, Philadelphia Flyers, Calgary Flames, and Vancouver Canucks all in playoff positions, yet they were eliminated, with the Rangers, Flyers, and Canucks even replacing coaches during the offseason. Conversely, the Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens, who were at the bottom of the Eastern Conference last Thanksgiving, made it into the playoffs. In the Western Conference, the Colorado Avalanche recovered from a poor start, and the St. Louis Blues gained significant momentum late in the season, advancing past the first round.
Now, let’s explore which teams outside the playoff spots might rise in the standings and which current playoff teams they could replace:
Edmonton Oilers
Why they’re out: Their main struggle is scoring, ranking last in points per game. Although goalie Stuart Skinner’s save percentage is low, weak defense contributes to their difficulties.
Why they could break in: A possible new goaltender acquisition could improve their defense, giving their offense a chance to clinch a playoff spot in the relatively weak Pacific Division.
Potential replacement: Seattle Kraken, who showed promise but may face challenges due to their weak offense.
Winnipeg Jets
Why they’re out: After a strong start, the Jets faltered, losing many games and dropping to 12th in the West.
Why they could break in: With the anticipated return of star goalie Connor Hellebuyck and a top-10 offense, they could climb the Central Division.
Potential replacement: Utah Mammoth, who struggle with consistency and defense in a tough division.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Why they’re out: Despite solid scoring, injuries and poor defense, especially on the road, have held them back.
Why they could break in: Recent wins and the return of key players could restore their form.
Potential replacement: Boston Bruins, who face injury challenges and inconsistent performance.
Florida Panthers
Why they’re out: Missing star forwards, their offense and defense have both suffered.
Why they could break in: They have shown resilience and still have enough talent to improve, especially with Matthew Tkachuk’s return.
Potential replacement: Pittsburgh Penguins, who started strong but have since faltered and might not sustain their defensive strength.
Montreal Canadiens
Why they’re out: After a good start, the Canadiens hit a rough patch and are now just outside playoff positions.
Why they could break in: Their strong offense could propel them back if their defense improves.
Potential replacement: New York Islanders, with solid defense but weaker scoring, currently struggling to hold onto playoff spots.
Fan Take: This update matters because it highlights the shifting dynamics and unpredictability of the NHL season, keeping fans on edge about which teams will clinch playoff spots. The potential changes in team fortunes demonstrate how injuries, player returns, and strategic moves can significantly impact the sport’s competitive landscape.
