Jake Paul is set to face Anthony Joshua in an official eight-round, 10-ounce glove bout at Miami’s Caseya Center this Friday. This marks Joshua’s first appearance in the ring since his knockout loss to Daniel Dubois for the IBF heavyweight title in September 2024. Paul is coming off a unanimous decision win over Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in June. The fight will be streamed on Netflix, starting at 8 PM ET, with the main event expected around 11 PM ET.
FanDuel currently lists Joshua as a heavy favorite with odds at -$1300, while Paul is the underdog at +$700. The betting line for the fight’s total rounds is set at 2.5, and there are enticing props like a +1000 payout for a knockout within the first 60 seconds. Joshua winning by knockout has odds of +165. For insights and betting tips, SportsLine fight expert Josh Nagel, who has a proven track record in boxing predictions, offers detailed analysis.
Nagel, who has over 20 years of experience covering combat sports, correctly predicted major fights in 2025, including Terrence Crawford’s win over Canelo Alvarez and Dimitry Bivol’s upset of Artur Beterbiev. He also accurately tipped Paul to win by decision against Chavez Jr. and Katie Taylor against Amanda Serrano. Fans can find his latest picks and prop bets exclusively on SportsLine.
One key prop Nagel highlights is Joshua winning by TKO/KO at -475, supported by Joshua’s recent form, including a knockout of Francis Ngannou in March 2024. Despite being younger and lighter by nearly 25 pounds, Paul has a respectable 12-1 record with 7 KOs but hasn’t faced an opponent like Joshua. Joshua’s experience and power make him the favored pick in this matchup.
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Fan Take: This fight is crucial for boxing fans as it pits an established heavyweight champion against a popular crossover star, Jake Paul, blending traditional boxing with entertainment-driven hype. The outcome could reshape the perception of celebrity-driven boxing matches and their impact on the sport’s future popularity.
