The first UFC title fight of 2026 has captured the attention of several prominent figures in the sport. Predictions from Bloody Elbow staff favor Justin Gaethje over Paddy Pimblett ahead of UFC 324’s main event, yet fan sentiment tells a different story. A poll conducted on January 24 revealed only a narrow 5% difference between the two fighters, indicating that the outcome remains widely debated among supporters.
Nate Diaz wasted no time sharing his prediction when asked, confidently backing Paddy Pimblett to claim victory. The interim lightweight title bout, set to take place later tonight in Las Vegas, has numerous factors influencing expectations. Despite Gaethje’s popularity among American fans, Pimblett is expected to have strong backing at T-Mobile Arena, including from Diaz himself. Speaking at Zuffa Boxing’s inaugural event on Friday, Diaz enthusiastically supported Pimblett, saying, “Gaethje and Paddy… Paddy, baby. Let’s go,” and expressed excitement about the fight in a video captured by Aaron Bronsteter.
Although some question the caliber of Pimblett’s previous opponents, Justin Gaethje’s record is widely respected. Renowned for thrilling performances in the lightweight division, Gaethje has earned praise from UFC veteran Dustin Poirier, who publicly leaned towards Gaethje in the fight during a discussion on Ariel Helwani’s show. Poirier noted Gaethje’s experience in enduring grueling 25-minute battles and highlighted his powerful striking ability, suggesting Pimblett will face a tough challenge staying on his feet and matching Gaethje’s intensity throughout the fight.
Fan Take: This clash between Gaethje and Pimblett isn’t just a title fight—it’s a defining moment that could shift the lightweight landscape. For fight fans, the bout promises high drama and skill, potentially signaling the rise of a new star or the continued dominance of a fan-favorite veteran.
