The 2026 Australian Open men’s semi-finals will continue on Friday at 3:30 a.m. ET, with 10-time champion Novak Djokovic taking on defending champion Jannik Sinner. Djokovic is currently on the longest stretch of his career without winning a Grand Slam title, having not won a set beyond the third round. He received a walkover in the fourth round, but was defeated 2-0 by Lorenzo Musetti in the quarter-finals. Sinner has won 12 straight against top-10 opponents, but has lost just two sets across those matches.
Sinner is the -1400 favorite to win the Australian Open, while Djokovic is a +800 underdog. Before finalizing your Australian Open picks for the first Grand Slam of the season, be sure to check out SportsLine expert Jose Onorato’s top tennis betting picks.
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Onorato posted his best bet since 2022 at 168-106-8 (+107.12 units). He correctly called Jannik Sinner (+160) at the 2025 Australian Open, Carlos Alcaraz (+130) at the 2025 French Open, and Sinner (+180) again at 2025 Wimbledon. He also called Coco Gauff (+700) for the 2025 French Open and Iga Swiatek (+1200) for the 2025 Wimbledon. Anyone who followed his tennis betting choices at sportsbooks and betting sites could have made big profits.
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Best bets for Australian Open men’s semi-finals:
- Sinner vs. Djokovic -2.5 sets (-130)
Sinner vs. Djokovic -2.5 sets (-130)
“Mr. Sinner has been in complete control of this rivalry, winning his last five meetings and posting convincing victories, including three in a row,” Onorato said. “His level in Melbourne was perfect once again. He is a two-time defending champion, on a 20-game winning streak at the Australian Open, and has not dropped a set this tournament. Sinner commanded from the baseline with depth and pace, consistently taking time away from his opponents and forcing mistakes early in rallies.”
“Djokovic, on the other hand, didn’t look like the physical force we’re used to seeing in Melbourne. His progress to the semi-finals was helped by Musetti’s retirement, but even before that there were cracks in his movement and consistency, especially in long exchanges. Those margins are important against Sinner. ‘s improved serve, elite return, and ability to absorb pace and change direction will neutralize Djokovic’s strengths and force him into a defensive position.This matchup is very favorable for Sinner to control the match from the beginning, as it is a level we have yet to see unless Djokovic finds favorable conditions.
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