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Reading: UFC 325 Fight Card Breakdown: Volkanovski vs. Lopez 2 Predictions, Odds, and Advanced Model Picks
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Sports Daily > Fighting > UFC 325 Fight Card Breakdown: Volkanovski vs. Lopez 2 Predictions, Odds, and Advanced Model Picks
UFC 325 odds, lines, fight card, predictions: Volkanovski vs. Lopez 2 picks from advanced models
Fighting

UFC 325 Fight Card Breakdown: Volkanovski vs. Lopez 2 Predictions, Odds, and Advanced Model Picks

January 30, 2026 4 Min Read
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UFC 325, a major event featuring the promotion’s CEO, is set for Saturday in Sydney, Australia, with the main card starting at 9pm ET live on Paramount+ from Qudos Bank Arena. The spotlight centers on the featherweight title rematch between two-time champion Alexander Volkanovski (27-4) and challenger Diego Lopez (27-7). Volkanovski, enjoying the boost of fighting on home soil, is favored at -148, while Lopez holds the underdog odds at +124. The co-main event features a lightweight clash between No. 6 Dan Hooker (+250) and No. 8 Benoit Saint-Denis (-310). Before making final picks, bettors are encouraged to review expert MMA insights and predictions powered by Mike McClure’s advanced computer model, which simulates fights round-by-round considering fighters’ skills, finishing tendencies, and damage accumulation.

New bettors can take advantage of a DraftKings promotion offering up to $300 in bonus bets for winning wagers. McClure’s model, which has been backtested over 500 fights with a 6.1% ROI, provides detailed predictions for all UFC 325 bouts, including Volkanovski vs. Lopez 2. It accounts for dynamic win probabilities, fight styles, and finish rates, offering a comprehensive look at the matchup. UFC events now stream exclusively on Paramount+, eliminating pay-per-view fees and allowing fans to watch all numbered UFC events and Fight Nights with a subscription.

Volkanovski, the first Australian-born featherweight champion and a former pound-for-pound leader, holds an 11-fight winning streak at featherweight but recently suffered losses moving up to lightweight against Islam Makhachev and lost his featherweight title before reclaiming it by defeating Lopez by unanimous decision at UFC 314. Lopez, 31, brings youth and a five-inch height advantage, possessing a solid Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background and riding a multi-fight win streak after joining UFC in 2023. Their previous bout was a competitive battle that earned Fight of the Night honors, with Lopez recently adding a TKO win via spinning elbows to his resume. Neither fighter has ever lost by submission, highlighting their well-rounded skills.

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Among other fights, the model favors Mauricio Ruffy at -120 over Rafael Fiziev, predicting a high finish rate with knockouts being the most likely outcome. FanDuel also offers new user promotions with bonus bets. For those seeking the model’s top picks, in-depth analysis, and winning strategies for UFC 325, including the Volkanovski vs. Lopez rematch, SportsLine remains the go-to source.

UFC 325 Main Card Odds:

  • Alexander Volkanovski (-148) vs. Diego Lopez (+124)
  • Dan Hooker (+250) vs. Benoit St. Denis (-310)
  • Rafael Fiziev (-102) vs. Mauricio Ruffy (-118)
  • Tihuassa (+245) vs. Talison Teixeira (-305)
  • Quilan Salkild (-1050) vs. Jamie Malarkey (+675)

Fan Take: UFC 325’s featherweight title rematch is a must-watch for fight fans, as it pits a seasoned champion against a hungry challenger with momentum, highlighting the evolving competitive landscape of the division. This event’s global stage and the shift to streaming on Paramount+ could mark a transformative moment for UFC’s accessibility and fan engagement worldwide.

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