Jannik Sinner entered the 2026 French Open as the clear favorite to win -300, but he has the second-lowest pre-tournament odds at a Grand Slam since at least 1990, and the shortest since Rafael Nadal (-400) at the 2009 French Open, who was upset in the fourth round. Sinner was eliminated earlier than the King of Clay, suffering a shocking second-round upset at the hands of Juan Manuel Cerundro, who had pre-fight odds of 32-1 to win and live odds of 100-1.
With Sinner’s early exit, Alexander Zverev filled the hole in the favorites and is currently +185 to win the men’s tournament at Roland Garros. 24-time major champion Novak Djokovic is next at +330, with Casper Ruud (+800) and Rafael Jodal (+850) rounding out the players under 10-1. Before the tournament, Zverev was the second-shortest player on the board at 12-1.
Sinner wasn’t the only one faltering in the first two rounds. Daniil Medvedev (50-1), Ben Shelton (100-1), Taylor Fritz (100-1) and Alexander Bublik (100-1) all left early. Five top-10 seeds were eliminated in the first two rounds of the French Open, the most since 2004.
There were also quite a few upsets on the women’s side early on. Most notably, Elena Rybakina, who had the third-highest winning odds at +650 and entered the tournament with decent support from the betting public, lost her second match, as did Jasmine Paolini (60-1). Jessica Pegula, a favorite among bettors at 50-1, lost her first match.
Iga Swiatek (+220) and Aryna Sabalenka (+240) remain favorites to win, but they have swapped the top spot several times. Popular plays Coco Gauff (+550), Amanda Anisimova (28-1), and Naomi Osaka (50-1) all saw their odds improve slightly.
for men and for women
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publication.
