The Milwaukee Bucks are set to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the last game before the 2026 NBA All-Star break. Milwaukee recently defeated Orlando 116-108, while Oklahoma City secured a 136-109 win against Phoenix. The Bucks, holding a 22-30 record and fourth place in the Central Division, have struggled on the road with a 10-18 road record. Meanwhile, the Thunder, who lead the Northwest Division with a strong 42-13 overall record, boast a formidable 22-5 home record. Milwaukee will be missing Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) and Ryan Rollins (foot), and Oklahoma City will be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal), Jaylen Williams (hamstring), and Ajay Mitchell (abdominal).
The game is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Historically, the series is evenly matched at 77-77, but the Thunder have won the last four meetings. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Oklahoma City is favored by 13 points, with an over/under set at 214.5 points. Fans are encouraged to check out the latest NBA predictions and betting insights from the SportsLine Projection Model before placing their bets.
New users can take advantage of a draft king promo code offering up to $300 in bonus bets if a wager of $5 or more wins. SportsLine’s advanced model runs 10,000 simulations per NBA game and has generated more than $10,000 in returns on $100 bets over eight seasons. Before the All-Star break, the model posted a 38-17 record on top NBA spread picks dating back to last season.
For this matchup, the model has also simulated the game 10,000 times, providing detailed picks and betting advice on SportsLine. Key betting odds include Oklahoma City favored by 13 points, a total points line at 214.5, and money line values showing Milwaukee at +486 and Oklahoma City at -680. The game will be streamed on Prime Video. There is also a special underdog promo code offering a $75 Fantasy Bonus Entry when new users bet $5 using code CBSSPORTS2.
According to the model’s analysis, the total points will likely go under 214.5, as that outcome has hit in three of the last four meetings between the teams and twice in Milwaukee’s last three games. Against the spread, the Bucks are 4-6 in their past 10 games, while the Thunder are 4-5-1 in their last 10. The model projects Cameron Thomas from Milwaukee to score around 19.7 points, one of only five Bucks expected to reach double digits. Chet Holmgren leads Oklahoma City with a similar scoring average, with six Thunder players anticipated to score at least 11.3 points.
SportsLine’s model has produced anti-spread picks hitting over 60% of the time in simulations. Fans are urged to visit SportsLine for the full range of picks and expert betting guidance based on extensive data and historical success.
Fan Take: This matchup highlights how competitive the NBA can be, with injury-depleted teams still striving for critical wins before the All-Star break. For basketball fans, it underlines the sport’s unpredictability and the increasing importance of advanced analytics in making smart betting and viewing choices.
