Another PGA signature event will take place this week, with the 2026 Genesis Invitational starting Thursday at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California. The prize money is $20 million and Ludvig Aberg returns as the defending champion. Collin Morikawa enters this tournament off the back of a win at Pebble Beach, and judging by his course history, he has a great chance to continue his resurgence this week with only one top-10 finish since March 2025. He has finished T19 or better at the Genesis Invitational each of the past four years, including a T2 at the event in 2022.
The latest 2026 Genesis Invitational odds from FanDuel Sportsbook have Scottie Scheffler listed as the +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300) and Rory McIlroy at +1100. Hideki Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024, is +2200, Morikawa is +2500, and Aberg joins Jake Knapp and Viktor Hovland at +3500. Before you finalize your pick for the 2026 Genesis Invitational or make your PGA DFS pick on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out our golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer models.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times and found: golf gambling A pick with a history of being very profitable.
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Now that the 2026 Genesis Invitational field is confirmed, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards.
2026 Genesis Invitational Predictions
One of the big surprises that models are calling for at the 2026 Genesis Invitational is that Matsuyama, who won the event in 2024 and has consecutive top-10 finishes, finished outside the top five this week. Although he has won once in this tournament, he has failed to qualify twice since 2021, and fell outside the top 10 at Genesis last year due to a slow start. This model doesn’t compare to Matsuyama’s value at +2500 at PGA odds. See who else will be fading out here.
Another surprise: this model is very high at +3300 for Chris Gotterup. He is one of the hottest players on the PGA Tour, winning two of the four events he has played this year. His success dates back to late 2025, with four top-10 finishes between July and the end of the year, including a win at the Scottish Open and a third place at the British Open Championship. He ranks fifth in driving distance and sixth in total strokes gained this season, making him a strong contender for the 2026 Genesis Invitational. Click here to see who else will be chosen.
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How to make your picks for the 2026 Genesis Invitational.
The model also targets four other longshots above +2700 for a strong run. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 Genesis Invitational and what is the big long shot that will shock the golf world? Check out the 2026 Genesis Invitational odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the predicted leaderboard from a model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Genesis Invitational Odds, Favorite
Complete picks, best bets and predictions for the 2026 Genesis Invitational are available here.
(Odds provided by FanDuel are subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +300
Rory McIlroy +1100
Xander Schauffele +1900
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Russell Henry +2700
Patrick Cantlay +2700
Kim Si Woo +3000
Cameron Young +3000
Sam Barnes +3300
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
Chris Gottterp +3300
Lee Min Woo +3300
Ludwig Oberg +3500
Viktor Hovland +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Justin Rose +4000
Robert McIntyre +4000
Sepp Straka +4000
Maverick McNeely +4000
Ben Griffin +4000
Harris English +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Rickie Fowler +4500
Akshay Bhatia +4500
Jason Day +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Jordan Spieth +6000
Ryan Gerald +6000
Kurt Kitayama +7500
Pierceson Coody +7500
Taylor Pendrith +7500
Max Homa +7500
JJ Spahn +7500
Nick Taylor +7500
