The PGA Florida Swing continues Thursday with the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge. The tournament’s signature event status means the return of virtually all of the PGA’s top players, most of whom were unavailable at last week’s Cognizant Classic. The top 10 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are all in attendance, with Scottie Scheffler topping FanDuel Sportsbook’s 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds board.
He’s a +350 favorite (risk $100 to win $350), followed by Rory McIlroy at +1000. Tommy Fleetwood (+2000), Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200), Collin Morikawa (+2500) and Xander Schauffele (+2500) are the other favorites to win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Before you finalize your 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, enter one of the Arnold Palmer Invitationals and exit contests, or make your PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out our golf predictions and projected leaderboards from SportsLine’s proven computer models.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every event on the PGA Tour 10,000 times and found: golf gambling A pick with a history of being very profitable.
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Now that the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational has been confirmed, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are surprising. Visit SportsLine now to see the predicted leaderboards. This can be used for PGA selections, one-and-done contests, or golf DFS lineups.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational Predictions
One of the big surprises this model is conjuring for API 2026 is that Schauffele, one of the favorites to win and a two-time major champion, barely cracks the top 10 of the predicted leaderboard. He’s a damn good golfer. The 32-year-old finished T7 at the last Genesis Invitational, but has finished T19 or lower in every other tournament this year. He has never finished in the top 20 in this tournament and barely made it to this event last year, finishing T40. See who else will be fading out here.
Another surprise: The model says Kim Si-woo is making a strong run toward the title despite a long shot of +3300. Kim’s form has slowed down a bit over the past two tournaments, but she opened the season with four consecutive tournaments of T11 or better, including a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open. Find out who else to choose here.
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How to make the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational
This model is also said to allow three golfers with a score of +3000 or above to rise to the top of the leaderboard. Model pickups can only be seen here.
Who will win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational? And which big long shot will shock the golf world? Check out the odds for the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard from a model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, favorites
Complete nominations, best bets and predictions for the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational are available here.
(Odds provided by FanDuel are subject to change)
Scotty Scheffler +350
Rory McIlroy +1000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500
Harris English +3000
Kim Si Woo +3300
Russell Henry +3300
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Ludwig Oberg +3300
Viktor Hovland +3300
Cameron Young +3500
Lee Min Woo +4000
Patrick Cantlay +4000
Jake Knapp +4000
Sam Burns +4500
Robert McIntyre +4500
Chris Gottterp +4500
Kurt Kitayama +4500
Adam Scott +4500
Shane Lowry +4500
Justin Rose +5000
Sepp Straka +5000
Rickie Fowler +5500
Ben Griffin +5500
Ryan Gerald +5500
Maverick McNeely +5500
Pierceson Coody +5500
Nikolai Hojgaard +6000
Jacob Bridgman +6000
Justin Thomas +6500
Jordan Spieth +6500
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Corey Connors +6500
Jason Day +7000
Keegan Bradley +7000
Nick Taylor +8000
JJ Spahn +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +10000
Saheeth Seegala +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
Nico Echavarria +10000
Harry Hall +10000
Alex Noren+10000
Samuel Stevens +10000
